After a period of stagnation and downtrend, the perpetual market of Bitcoin has experienced a brief rebound in the past few weeks. With traders cautiously bullish about the crypto asset’s near-term potential, this comeback was followed by a period of elevated volatility and price consolidation.
A Gradual Comeback In Bitcoin’s Perpetual Market
Recent on-chain data shows that the Bitcoin perpetual market is once again regaining its momentum, signaling positive advancements around the digital asset. Market expert and the host of the Crypto Banter show, Kyle Doops, shared the development in the Bitcoin Perpetual Market Directional Premium metric with the crypto community on the X (formerly Twitter) platform.
The recent shift in the key metric is in tandem with an improvement in market mood as Bitcoin tries to rebound from its ongoing consolidation phase. The brief uptick reflects expanding investors’ interest due to rising trading activity and a small increase in funding rates.
According to Kyle Doops, by mid-September, the cumulative monthly premium for long-side contracts had dropped from a high of $120 million in March to about $1.7 million, and it had only slightly recovered to $10.8 million ever since.
Furthermore, the expert noted that this upswing still falls well short of January 2023 levels, which indicates diminishing speculative enthusiasm and a reduction in leverage demand during the market correction. However, as confidence in the asset strengthens, this brief uptick could be seen as an indicator of renewed upside momentum for Bitcoin, with market conditions persistently stabilizing.
Kyle Doops also reported a notable increase in the Estimated Leverage Ratio (ELR) in another X post, which now takes stablecoin reserves into account. Specifically, this rise in the metric suggests a higher risk associated with Bitcoin derivatives.
As a result, traders must reduce risk and steer clear of emotional decisions, especially during volatile conditions because the market is prone to abrupt changes.
BTC Maintaining Its Renewed Upward Strength
Bitcoin has maintained a positive trend since the digital asset witnessed a rebound about a week ago. The renewed strength has led to growing confidence in the short and long-term potential of BTC, with multiple analysts predicting that a major rally could take place soon.
Crypto analyst and trader Milkybull recently forecasted an impending massive rally for BTC in the near term due to a bullish breakout from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. According to the analyst, this breakout is essential as it might signal a bull run to the $120,000 price level, suggesting that the next move is about to happen.
Nonetheless, given the potential of heightened volatility in the upcoming days, traders and investors are closely watching for further confirmation of the bullish cross as they cautiously engage with the crypto asset.
Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com
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